Weekly Forecast: Can "Rio" flies above "Captain America" & "Diary ng Panget"?

Rio 2 (Source: IMDB)

After 3 years, the sequel to Rio will finally open this week. But can it beat last week top movies?

The first Rio opened to 24 million and ended its run with 71 million. It was a solid family movie. After three years, the sequel has finally arrived with Amazon as their new setting.

In the country, original animated movies are not that strong. But, most animated sequels rise over the first movie and the last animated movie of the year was Mr. Peabody and Sherman which is now gone in the cinemas. The Pacquiao-Bradley fight on Sunday won't even hurt big the movie. These factors will help Rio 2 to open bigger.

I expect Rio 2 to open between 33-40 million, enough to have a strong battle for number 1 with Captain America and (possilbly) Diary ng Panget. Anything lower than that would be surprising but anything higher than that won't be surprising.


Prediction:
1. Rio 2 - 34 million
2. Captain America: The Winter Soldier - 27 million (-60%)
3. Diary ng Panget - 25 million (-59%)


Note: These are only the projections of the author.